The Winter of our Discontent?
In one of my previous posts I discussed the Israeli Data and why I watch it.
When Chief Medical Officer of Health For Alberta - Dr. Deena Hinshaw was making announcements at the end of July to End Restrictions for Mid August, I had my doubts:
I wasn’t wanting to keep mask mandates and lockdowns, but watching this unfold, it was easy to see where we were headed and where we’d be headed again. As it turned out, we never really did end restrictions and by September 4th, 2021, we were back to mask mandates.
Watching the early data from Israel on vaccinations and case spread rate, I felt pretty comfortable in my assessment and as it turned out, I was correct - and things did get a lot worse.
I’ve recently published some thoughts on why Taxing your immune system going into respiratory virus season is a terrible idea, especially during a global pandemic and I’m still comfortable in saying that this is a terrible idea.
How bad is it and what can we expect?
I’ve drilled into a few more reports and the initial COVID response from Alberta Health Services and while I don’t want to alarm you, I think things are going to get really bad this fall and coming into Christmas.
Specifically focusing on the highest impacted age groups from COVID, 60+, our new plan is so far our old plan - masks and lockdowns (not mentioned yet, but they are coming) only we’ve added in a Mass Vaccination Program - a vaccination that taxes our immune systems going into respiratory virus season - 60+ making up 92% of the COVID Mortality Rate for Alberta.
What is this going to look like during Flu Season this year?
I had a look at the COVID, pneumonia and influenza stats from the CDC and all deaths involving all for ages 65+ account for 78% of them.
While being fairly significant, it is also important to understand “Place of Death”, as in, where they resided prior to mortality. CDC breaks this down:
89.4% of these deaths happened in Health Care Settings.
How does this compare to Alberta?
For that, you have to sift back a few reports from AHS because for some reason they just stopped reporting Outbreak Settings. Most current shows the outbreaks from 2013-2018, with the highest case rates being in Supportive Living, Long Term Care and Acute Facilities.
From the above, you can pretty much guess the age ranges of greatest impact:
What is most alarming about this, especially by April of 2020, the Executive Director, Continuing Care Edmonton Zone - Carol Anderson and the Medical Director of Continuing Care - Dr. Douglas Faulder, activated its Emergency Response Plan, brooming patients out of Acute Care Facilities and into Long Term and Extended Care Facilities, during a pandemic of a respiratory virus.
Israel, the CDC and vaccine manufacturers Moderna and Pfizer have all recognized waning immunity from the vaccines as somewhere in the 5-6 month range. As of August 1, 2021 - 22, 362, 208 people were “Fully Vaccinated”, in Canada, which means by the End of December, 22 Million people will need to get a Booster Shot for COVID:
And when is peak flu season again?
Each adverse event listed in the 176, 564 for those 60+ is the results from a weakened immune system brought on by a vaccination.
Putting it all together.
As we move into Respiratory Virus Season, during a Global Pandemic of a Respiratory Virus, those who are at Highest Risk of Mortality are going to lose whatever benefits they’ve gotten from their initial Jabs. These high risk patients reside in homes that are specific to the highest outbreaks from Respiratory Viruses. In order to protect them, they will need an immunization shot that caused 202K reactions including 7,565 Deaths, 4,900 Disabilities, 4,301 Permanent Disabilities - seeing 21, 878 Emergency Room Visits and 21, 566 Hospitalizations during the last 8 Months in the United States from those aged 60+.
Remember all that talk in 2020 about social distancing, lockdowns and masks to protect grandma? Turns out, it was all bullshit.
The plan was terrible in 2020.
How well do you think it’s going to go in 2021?