"BASE RATE FALLACY", they Screech...
What is that in terms of per 100k cases?
Seriously, one of the most unintelligent conversations going on, with those still clinging to being vaccinated, is the Base Rate Fallacy Claim. Somebody pulled out a Crayola drawing and now it’s so common, you almost get a nosebleed just looking at the ignorance behind it. The napkin drawing looks like this, sorry for your nosebleed.
Because the pool of ‘Vulnerable to COVID’ was diluted in the vaccine effective metrics by governments coercing a majority of the population into getting a medical treatment for a virus that 99.9x% of the population would have survived without…the people who were complete assholes to everybody else based on their virtue signalling how many jabs they have, they’ve used this completely moronic logic to try and back up this failed claim.
It’s embarrassing and really stupid.
These same people will continue to claim this same thing, no matter what you try and show them and this follows the same logic from a quote by Jonathan Swift:
“Reasoning will never make a Man correct an ill Opinion, which by Reasoning he never acquired”.
People will always passionately defend a position they’ve taken and feverishly support it and in the case of COVID and Vaccinations, will most likely do so to their demise. Reason being…they don’t want to admit that they were wrong and never want to apologize for being a complete ASSHOLE to those who realized that they were never at risk from COVID and didn’t want to chance the risks that come with each jab of vaccine.
So…to help you escape these arguments, let’s look at how this really plays out.
Right now, in Canada, there is about 50% of the population that has been Boosted - or, fully vaccinated + 1 dose →3 jabs. This is reflected in the following:
50:50 give or take of boosted to not boosted - % of population.
Right?
Now, when we take down the most recent data provided by Health Canada and separate it the same way, we see the following:
The boosted make up the Higher Percentage of all 3 metrics.
Cases - 63%
Hospitalizations - 53%
Deaths - 70% <------------------w0w
Meaning the actual Crayola Cocktail Napkin Drawing would actually look like this:
The overwhelming majority of deaths, which vaccines are supposed to reduce are the absolute highest in the people who have taken the most doses of Vaccines.
The argument is stupid.
And people who still try to make this aren’t using logic to defend the position they’ve gotten themselves into…they are grasping at straws to rationalize why they are better than you are.
If you need an escape from this conversation, please forward this post or any part needed. It really is a stupid conversation that needs to end.
Crayola ≠ Science
And, if you are on Twitter, feel free to quote me on this exact posting:
Thanks - totally agree. The people I know who use this response, rather than look at the raw data, are like robots repeating something that MSM trained them to say. If you repeat something often enough, it sticks - no critical thinking. No one seems to remember that the world was told that no one would go to the hospital or die of COVID if they had the vaccine.
I'm still confused by "base rate". Isn't this resolved by just looking at per capita rates for each vaccination group?