Did Health Canada approve Pfizer based on the same Pfizer Documents that Were Released Tuesday, March 1, 2022?
Pfizer Adverse Events - Deeper Dive Part 1
Having done a preliminary dive into the Pfizer documents last week, I had asked the title question…because it all looked kind of terrible. I also included, a follow up question, “Who Should be Fired?”
Having seen 1223 deaths reported in this time period following vaccinations and improperly extending this data, it really actually seemed catastrophic!
But…
As has been mentioned and noted from my previous look at the CUMULATIVE ANALYSIS OF POST-AUTHORIZATION ADVERSE EVENT REPORTS (5.3.6-postmarketing-experience), where there were 42,086 vaccinations and 1223 deaths, making about 3%…that 42,086 number is actually the number of Adverse Events Reported, not total vaccinations.
So, I figured I should probably add this by way of corrections and do a little deeper dive into this document for a better overall look and understanding of what this 38 page document actually says. Diving into this, it’s still a little skewed but we have to remember that there are a lot of variables and just to make it through any sort of analysis, I have to treat all ages, pre-existing conditions, genders…as fixed numbers. There isn’t enough data to do a comprehensive break out of the data across the population of Canada nor any other country. I did this in a way that if I had to look at the data only and make a decision on, should we use the Pfizer Vaccines in Canada?
Truth is, given the information in this report…my answer to the title question would be yes…but with the same caveat as was used by Health Canada in Strict and Rigid monitoring of the usage outcome.
The first thing worth noting on this study is that the cutoff date for information on this was February 28, 2021, over a full year ago. I haven’t seen anything more current but I still have a lot of digging and digesting to do.
What is important about the date is where Canada and the rest of the planet actually were in their vaccination programs, up to this date. Globally, we less than 1% fully vaccinated and had given seen distribution of just over 210 Million doses.
Today, that number is just over 10 Billion or 51x that original amount.
In this, there have been additional options available for vaccinations besides Pfizer and assuming even distribution was not something that I was prepared to do, nor is drilling this information out for every country that’s had vaccine programs, there simply isn’t enough accurate data nor time to go through all of this.
Canada was a little ahead of the Global Curve but even by this time we had only fully vaccinated about 1.4% of our population and had used just shy of 2 Million doses of the vaccines.
Estimating how many were Pfizer is kind of tricky because at this time, Moderna, J&J and AstraZeneca were all being rolled out around the same time as Pfizer and we were all told to “Take the first Vaccine Available” because “They are all Safe and Effective”, and well…what did we know?
Take the vaccine or kill grandma…in the grandest scheme.
I’m going to work off of a couple of different calculations from here - Canada Related - for some sort of even or consistent measure. Reason being is that at current, Canada has Fully vaccinated 32.39% of it’s total 12+ population with Pfizer + another 2% in the 5-11 year old range:
The biggest problem with this data set is that some provinces have a higher rate with Pfizer vaccinations - Alberta 48.82% and Quebec is completely unknown:
Why we don’t have this information from Quebec is beyond me.
For simplicity sake and because this won’t be 100% accurate anyways…I am going to look at 35% and 50% totals for Canada which of course leads into the next major issue with breaking down and understanding the data - Onset of Adverse Events. (*Vaccine Distribution in Canada)
A basic rundown of what Onset of Adverse Events means is the amount of time after you’ve been injected that you have an Adverse Reaction to the vaccination. When you stub your toe, the onset of pain is immediately and though there have been cases of people dying following their injections and a mandatory 15 Minute waiting period after being vaccinated to make sure that you don’t collapse, other adverse events may not show for days and weeks.
The example provided:
Autoimmune Adverse Events of Special Interest.
Running through this, there were 1077 ‘Relevant Events’, of which 780 were serious and 297 Non-Serious. In this, most frequently reported were Hypersensitivity, Neuropathy peripheral, Pericarditis, Myocarditis, Dermatitis, Diabetes mellitus and Encephalitis, Psoriasis, Dermatitis Bullous, Autoimmune disorder and Raynaud’s phenomenon. The Relevant Onset Latency ranged from less than 24 hours to 30 days, as in, these conditions took longer than the 15 minutes following vaccinations but could have happened anytime from Minute 16 through 30 days. They might have happened in them first 15 minutes, it’s not like your troponin levels are measured before and after the injection, so there’s really no way to know if you didn’t get heart damage somewhere from when the plunger on the syringe was depressed to the time it took to circulate the vaccines throughout your system - could happen fast but it may also take a full month, unless you go into Atrial Fibrillation - AFib at the M10 mark.
So, when we see the actual breakdown of the Case Outcomes, what we have to consider is that the number of Relevant Cases (N=42,086). we have to appreciate that these were only the number found and reported up to February 28, 2021, not for the length of time that may have followed the injections prior to the Onset of the conditions. Also worthy of noting is that in Case Outcomes, there are a lot that are listed as Not Recovered at the time of the report and those that are Unknown.
However, as indicated under Autoimmune AESI’s: Conclusion: This cumulative case review does not raise new safety issues. Surveillance will continue
Fortunately, I guess…is that in this group that includes Myocarditis and Pericardits there were only a total of 57 of these cases and 12 fatalities at the time of this report but with the knowledge that people were vaccinated right up to the date of this report and there could be additional cases realized from there over the period of the next 30 days. So, Relevant Cases where N=42806, may be 50,000 which would skew all of the case outcome data as well including the fatalities. Important to keep in mind that on a global scale we were only .7% Fully Vaccinated and in Canada only 1.4% of the population was vaccinated.
Risk Calculations Based Globally extended to Canada population (38 Million) and vaccine distribution rates:
212,835,340 Vaccines Given, 42,086 Adverse Events Reported, producing 1077 Relevant Events under Immune-Mediated/Autoimmune AESIs, with 57 Total Pericarditis and Myocarditis - at 35% Pfizer usage we may expect to see: 2629 Adverse Reactions, 67 Autoimmune AESIs and 3.6 Cases of Myocarditis and Pericarditis. With 50% of Pfizer usage, we may expect to see 3757 Autoimmune AESIs with 5 cases of Myocarditis and Pericarditis.
Extended throughout all of the Adverse Events of Special Interest from COVID?
Let’s take a look:
At 35% Pfizer usage, we would expect to see 1353 Adverse Events of Special Interest, at 50%, we would expect to see 1938. Also extending the Fatality Rate listed, we would possibly expect to see 76 and 109 deaths - Canada Wide at 35/50% Pfizer Vaccinations, respectively.
At this point, during the Pandemic, Canada was at 25,119 COVID related Deaths:
If you had to make the decision to risk 109 lives to potentially save another 25k, would you have approved of using the Pfizer Vaccine?
It’s not an easy decision to have to make…but somebody did had to make and if this was all of the information that was provided, I would have approved of using the Pfizer - mRNA vaccines, in Canada.
The problem with this is…
Going to be Continued in Part 2